Soical Science

Wednesday, June 07, 2006

Today was the final day of our rehearsal for college classes, and I’d have to say I enjoyed it actually maybe because it was only six weeks, but if it had been more, then I’m not sure how I would have felt about it. It’s interesting to me how much we were able to accomplish in such a short amount of time, and that is because I believe what we study in this social science class was something that all concerned us, even though this was probably the first of us hearing about it. And glad that I did because so much change I feel has to be incorporated into the future I plan for myself.
The topic that we studied in this class I just wished that there was more time to actually do more on it. We read a lot of articles based on this idea of peak oil, and had many discussions among each other, but there wasn’t this urge to actually go out and do something acting on it. Yea we spoke about the decomposing and Andy giving worms away to people who would actually go through with it, and some people in the class were actually helping that man make his film about peak oil, but I feel that there are so many other activities that we could have introduce ourselves too, in order to act on this idea of oil peak. We are all capable, and have the ability to start forming this, and creating ways to get this idea out, but instead it didn’t get done. Not saying that it wouldn’t, but there weren’t skills like that brought out of us, which I would have hoped this class would have done, given us the inspiration to actually do something about it.
I feel that, that’s what disappoints me about myself as well because I was really interested in what this oil peak was about, and thought a lot about it, what should be done, what could be changed, but then after a while just thought that it was a lot of work that was going to be necessary to get something off the ground. It made me doubt that I would survive in a post oil peak society if I had that mind set that things were to hard to get started to don’t even bother, because the way we live today would be totally different then post oil peak, and since I’m so accustomed to this life, I would actually have a hard time adjusting. I never thought that it would really play out that way, and scared. I’m very much a team player, and work well once I have a set goal, but at this moment I didn’t care about neither, and realized I would be in a lot of trouble if I continued to express those thoughts. Today when we read the article about the woman adjusting her whole life, I don’t think is a big realization to many of us in this class. We go on as if Andy doesn’t portray this idea to us every time we have his class. We talked about it with some of our parents, friends, many even loved ones, but haven’t done enough by them or our selves to actually survive this oil peak. Life goes through these dramatic forces and we take it as we want, but it should be understood that we are able to contrast it now so that it doesn’t end up as bad, and that’s what we are not concerning our selves with at this moment, and that’s what I wished we all got of that class, that motive to want to change things. Of course we won’t save the whole world, but we can prepare ours. That’s why I hope that I maintain update with the oil peak, and try to assure my family that other ways are possible, before they freak out once oil peak does happen.
But over all I am grateful that I was able to over come something that really does speak about the future, and my future because that’s what this whole college course was doing, trying to prepare, and that’s what I hope gets passed on. I am not sure what the first steps would be, but hopefully starting my own compost in my house because my sister would love something like that, and it’s good for the environment. I would be more grateful if we are able to form rallies about this, but I feel that hands bigger than mine needs to handle that, but the future is a virtue, and so is peak oil.

Monday, May 29, 2006

We need everyone to be prepared…
In this moment in time, I rethink a lot of my thoughts because the future isn’t what I have expected anymore. It has become this idea, not an actual fact, and that is something I don’t think everyone has realized. During the last couple of classes, with the things we have discussed about Cuba, and Ismel being the closest scenario, and all of the ways the government will take charge, sustain all power, and gain more, just put me in the dark, because the light hasn’t shined one bit, and I am afraid that it will not until it’s too late. Thinking about all of this makes me want to prepare for the bigger movements in life, and forget about the smaller ones, that at this point don’t matter to anyone if we don’t take action from here on out. What my group thought up was taking the baby steps into something much bigger. My first thought was to get people more aware of this situation because the more we address it to people, the more people we can get involved to create substitutes for this monster of a life we claim now. I thought one idea would be so start discussions in schools because it is the place where we supposedly to learn about affects of this sort. The children are our future anyway, and it’s important that they get a head start planning their futures according to what may be soon. Next is to start addressing it a form where parents can talk about this among children. Many parents and child events don’t happen too often so this would be that time that they get together, these are the things are matter most anyway. These events would consist of learning the skills to survive during this time when oil does peak, and thoughts on it, tips to start little bit by little bit, things in that nature. And those were my thoughts for baby steps to the bigger picture where we have millions of people who are ready to start society all over again basically. It will take time, but I feel that it could develop very nicely and be the meaning

Sunday, May 14, 2006

Ecotopia by Callenbach

The world comes to the end? Some don’t believe it could happen, or think we have nothing to worry about because we were built to last. I wish I could agree, but I am not the only one who describes the events that could happen in our future to the world we live in. Ernest Callenbach, the author of Ecotopia writes a story basing it on a society that now depends on alternative sources to survive and maintain the society.
This Ecotopia society all begins with the citizens of Washington, Oregon, and northern California that get together and form this isolated society away from their current government because they disagree with how things are run and what is happening to our world, and nothing can be done about it, so they try to fight against it another way. They are disappointed with the behavior of the United States because of the industrializing, polluting, exploiting, extracting, and militarizing ways that seem to pertain to everything that is done. This society relates a lot of our own because we are struggling with the idea of oil peak and what will come once oil peaks. This book lives out this situation and develops the scenarios that we have been predicting for our future. While in the process of isolating from their nation they create a novel about an experiment in sustainable living, and it’s basically what they are actually going through because they are sustaining themselves from the average by creating their own society.
Through this reading I realize how powerful it is to take your stand on something you feel strongly about. It’s important to develop your opinions and stick to them because if that’s how you feel then you should make that a known fact. The people of Ecotopia have found ways to represent their situation until they are heard, and maybe this should be a message to us that this oil peak if it were to happen will affect all of us, and the fact that the government isn’t doing much about it and it is one of our big concerns then we should handle the situation.
In the Ecotopian society they sacrificed in order to survive, and that is what I feel is our problem, because if oil was to peak there would be a huge adjustment, and nothing would be the same, but it’s hard to imagine people from our society cooping in those terms. The citizens of Ecotopia found ways to minimize and produce food, where it is now sugar free, unprocessed, and unpackaged. Their shelter is larger and is shared housing which maintains keeping up with the families that live there. Then even their clothing is made with natural material and made so it is easier to manage. Automobiles in their society are now eliminated and the highways and streets that were used for cars are open to the people.
While reading more of this book, I think it really described how our generation should be living because it made so much more sense then how things are actually. Ecotopians owned less, and less was done to get what was needed. They didn’t need big fancy things; to them it’s about the simple surviving ways that keep this society going. Their reasonability as citizens is 20 hours a week if they choose to work, because since less is needed it’s not mandatory that you work your life away to get what you need, forgot about getting the things you want, that takes lives away. So simple seems to be their motto. In the competitive sense for business, there is none, because in their society if the worker so to make a product he/she would sign it giving them the credit for the job and the custom were to be able to comment or compliment back if they wanted to, using that things are appreciated, and that’s the way life really should be, but remember this is only a book, based on an actually event we should take more concern into but haven’t yet.
For problems that occur among the citizens of Ecotopia, they are not to gossip behind each others back around the business, instead they address it to the whole town and it’s discussed then because that’s how living really is done.
I only hope that this could be one of out best scenarios because if change was to happen among us now starting with little things like our wants and needs, the things we custom on a daily bases. That’s a step that could be done without many people understanding the situation of oil peak and then putting it out there so then other people would take notice and want to follow in and we could start a chain together. At the same time this could prevent a cause for the use of oil, making it last a ting bit longer before a peak.
I strongly feel that once this does get out of oil peaking, then it would be too late. If this was to hit the media now and included that it’s 10 to 15, 20 years from now then that would get people think about their actions. I don’t feel that any other part of the world would be affect as much as was would be if oil was to peak. Other countries will notice the slim changes, but to the United States the change of oil peak will be massive and its consequences will increase faster. People will panic and the idea of competition would be at hand because our first thought isn’t to live simple, and need less to survive. It’s having more than the other person trying to do the same as you are, and that shouldn’t be what’s important to us.
I think at this point of the oil peak scenario, more people should be aware of it because like I have said before it affects us all. The people of the Ecotopian society were aware of that and more scarifies according to what was important. One of our assignments for class was to write up a scenario that they believe if oil peaks happens, how our living conditions would be like. I felt we would live in the Great Depression days and things would fall apart slowly, oppose to others who feel that we will live through the Apocalypse. The thought of that scares me, and the way that we are living scares me as well. I want to believe that change is really among is, and this oil peak is preparing us for a male over and we will actually benefit from it, but then again I am not sure and can not predict the future, but if I could I would hope that our future looks like Ecotopia society because it seems best.

Tuesday, May 09, 2006

Response...Hirsch Report
This article was based on information found by Hirsch. He explains sereval scenarios which exist in chronically diverse while the oil comes to its peak. I liked the article because I felt that it was really detail and strongly put together and that’s why Bush hasn’t spoke about it yet because it’s what is going to happen.

Scenario...Great Depression
This isn’t a hard scenario to imagine because some that are still living have lived through something like this already. Great depression symbolizes rough times, hard situations to deal with, bad terms, and just plain depression. We would only go through this once oil reached its peak, but I believe that this would be the biggest adjustment out of all the scenarios we came up.
The first thing I believe that would happen is the people would want to get at the government. Fighting for answers, not understanding why we didn’t know about this sooner, because the people have every right to be angry. With a depression that results in less jobs, less wages, higher bills, higher prices for transportation, and etc. Also I think that the peak would hit the media without any warnings before it actually happens. Small businesses will close, organizations that are non profit will be first to go, so schools, and companies that associate with children. Upper and middle I believe would last longer because they have more money to fund up for energy sources, but lower class and poor will be living the village future scenario a lot sooner. In a way it’s a benefit because they can get custom to the scenario before the oil peak gets really bad.
If all this was to happen then hopefully this would open the eyes of the government and they will turn to alternative and we would be able to overcome this situation and the depression wouldn’t last as long, but this is how it would start out and look. It’s hard to imagine that this is what could happen in the next ten years but that what sources have estimated the peak to begin and things to get serious. But hopefully by then we have our things together and understand how to live through this energy crisis.

Manufacturing...new fuels?

We had to further our research on the oil peak scenario and my topic was to dig in deeper for companies that are getting into the business of oil, but not just who is exploring more places for oil, but companies or countries that were getting into manufacturing fuel, new forms of energy oppose to using oil. My partner for this was Daniella and we discussed that this idea would be interesting and some what difficult to research, but we stuck to our plan and went forth with it. Our plan was to look and find more information on the companies they mentioned in the article and see where they stand with the manufacturing fuels, and to look up Brazil because they have done a lot about manufacturing new energy sources. The other part of our search would be to find sources that contradict this theory that, there is actually nothing that could substitute oil in this day and age.

Daniella’s page http://nella9.blogspot.com/

What I was able to come upon was an article titled, “With Big Boost from Sugar Cane, Brazil is Satisfying its Fuel needs” written by Larry Rohter. This article explained the process that Brazil has been working on because of the warning of the oil peak.
They seem to really be preparing themselves for alternative sources oppose to oil, “This country expects to become energy self-sufficient this year, meeting its growing demand for fuel by increasing production from petroleum and ethanol. Already the use of ethanol, derived in Brazil from sugar cane, is so widespread that some gas stations have two sets of pumps, marked A for alcohol and G for gas.” This is a big development for our current situation if this oil does peak. Brazil has found something that they trust and have used for another source of energy. It was already said by Henry Ford that, “ethyl alcohol is the fuel of the future.”
While reading this article I came upon the conclusion that Brazil was already very sufficient that’s why these circumstances and solutions come so naturally to the country that they are already dealing with it. It made me wonder how much actual green fuels did they really use before. Brazil has been going at the sugar cane energy since 1975 where they introduced the “Pro-Alcohol” solution; they got on this right after the first energy crisis. This sugar cane energy solution seems to be much dependable, and really going places for the world. In Brazil the last 70 percent of automobiles have been made to consume flex fuel engines so that it would either handle actual oil, or ethanol.
The problem that seems to come along with Brazil’s new found fuel is that sugar canes are not produce to the expansion that we would need to produce enough fuel for the world. In order to produce more sugar canes the land that is required is pasture land, then that takes away from cattle, and then that’s another product that would have to be exported, and thoughts are into the Amazon and that would result to greater deforestation. But officials from Brazil know what needs to be done to handle these minor problems and hope to share their search and resources with the rest of the world, but will benefit more because the rest of the world uses so much energy then a small country like Brazil.
I feel that countries like this are way ahead of us in this situation and are preparing people for the worst to come because it’s not set in stone what is to occur, but hopefully reading on such information like this the United Stated will wake up and start prepping the country for oil peak, and then we expect what is to happen but won’t worry because we’ll already be prepared.

Manufacturing...new fuels?
We had to further our research on the oil peak scenario and my topic was to dig in deeper for companies that are getting into the business of oil, but not just who is exploring more places for oil, but companies or countries that were getting into manufacturing fuel, new forms of energy oppose to using oil. My partner for this was Daniella and we discussed that this idea would be interesting and some what difficult to research, but we stuck to our plan and went forth with it. Our plan was to look and find more information on the companies they mentioned in the article and see where they stand with the manufacturing fuels, and to look up Brazil because they have done a lot about manufacturing new energy sources. The other part of our search would be to find sources that contradict this theory that, there is actually nothing that could substitute oil in this day and age.

Daniella’s page http://nella9.blogspot.com/

What I was able to come upon was an article titled, “With Big Boost from Sugar Cane, Brazil is Satisfying its Fuel needs” written by Larry Rohter. This article explained the process that Brazil has been working on because of the warning of the oil peak.
They seem to really be preparing themselves for alternative sources oppose to oil, “This country expects to become energy self-sufficient this year, meeting its growing demand for fuel by increasing production from petroleum and ethanol. Already the use of ethanol, derived in Brazil from sugar cane, is so widespread that some gas stations have two sets of pumps, marked A for alcohol and G for gas.” This is a big development for our current situation if this oil does peak. Brazil has found something that they trust and have used for another source of energy. It was already said by Henry Ford that, “ethyl alcohol is the fuel of the future.”
While reading this article I came upon the conclusion that Brazil was already very sufficient that’s why these circumstances and solutions come so naturally to the country that they are already dealing with it. It made me wonder how much actual green fuels did they really use before. Brazil has been going at the sugar cane energy since 1975 where they introduced the “Pro-Alcohol” solution; they got on this right after the first energy crisis. This sugar cane energy solution seems to be much dependable, and really going places for the world. In Brazil the last 70 percent of automobiles have been made to consume flex fuel engines so that it would either handle actual oil, or ethanol.
The problem that seems to come along with Brazil’s new found fuel is that sugar canes are not produce to the expansion that we would need to produce enough fuel for the world. In order to produce more sugar canes the land that is required is pasture land, then that takes away from cattle, and then that’s another product that would have to be exported, and thoughts are into the Amazon and that would result to greater deforestation. But officials from Brazil know what needs to be done to handle these minor problems and hope to share their search and resources with the rest of the world, but will benefit more because the rest of the world uses so much energy then a small country like Brazil.
I feel that countries like this are way ahead of us in this situation and are preparing people for the worst to come because it’s not set in stone what is to occur, but hopefully reading on such information like this the United Stated will wake up and start prepping the country for oil peak, and then we expect what is to happen but won’t worry because we’ll already be prepared.

Monday, May 08, 2006

respones to other blogs....
ERIC:
You pretty much broke the whole idea down, and that’s really appreciated when we are all looking at this idea from different concepts. You had mentioned some numbers in there, and it was very shocking because media lacks to mention this to everyone who will have to deal with it in the future. It’s a global issue and barely anyone understands, but please further your research and keep us updated.

DANIELLA:
When we were in class we already talked about this topic having its moments because it’s tough to get factual sources. I think that you worked hard to put this together and did a good job. You explained each argument and that helps a lot for others when looking back at the source. When I was trying to do this assignment I was scheming through a lot of different articles because I didn’t want to respond to the first thing I found either, and unfortunately am still at that process, but your blog helps cause it will be nice to take a peak at your sources. I will most likely update with things that I find since we are doing the same thing.

HENRY:This was a really detailed paper and you really explained each thought you had really well. I think it’s crazy when you were talking about the oil in Kuwait and how the government plans to exert that oil, but what gives us the right to just take it. Just because we put ourselves in this predicament, then we have the power to just take from others. I think that’s a very interesting observation because instead of the whole world worrying about oil peak. It seems to just be the United States because all means necessary; we’ll have our source of energy. And I really feel that is what’s it’s all about. This is a global issue, but basically the United States is the only country that will have a solution. You have mentioned that this whole idea changes what everyone plans for their future to look like, and I really think we should take notice and really adjust our lives so this situation because it is reality. I think we all want to believe that it’s not among us as soon as they say it is, but it is an important factor to factor into our lives.

Thursday, May 04, 2006

Manufacture fuels...pg2(2) Response to this

In the process of going over this oil peak situation we read an article, once for hw and the other in class which was titled, “Why the world is not about to run out of oil” published by the Economic magazine. It expressed different arguments discussing oil peak and reasons why it will peak, and other reasons why it wouldn’t. The one idea that I was told to focus on was how companies that supply and produce the oil would start to get more into manufacturing it instead of going off try to discover more oil else where. This way it would pre long the oil peak if it were to occur, and give us other resources to use oppose to oil as being our supply of energy. Such companies that they talked about were the American General electric, South Africa’s Sasol, and Britain’s Virgin Fuels. These are companies that will venture out into the research and dedication it takes to supply the world with another outlook for energy.
I found an article about the Britain Virgin Fuels and which is owned by Richard Branson. He is a big time guy in our society who owns such ventures as insurance, air and rail travels, and internet around the world. His view on this whole oil peak thing is to get into it now so that when things start to switch up, people are going to come to him, and he’s going to make the most money. I understand that if oil was to peak money would be a factor, but it’s always sad that the only reason why such people want to venture out into such a big issue of ours is because of the money. If Britain Virgin Fuels does find solutions and helps us then more power to them, but I would hope that they are getting in this business for the right reasons, and not the wrong.

(other notes about the issue were in my note book, could post later)

Tuesday, May 02, 2006

Response to Katrina's "Predicting the Future Writing Assignment 2"
A lot of people wrote about the Black out being their closet moment to collapse. It’s a scary thing to think about especially if you’ve have not experienced anything of the nature. I was not in New York when the black out occurred, I happened to have been in Florida when it went down, but we had got a whole bunch of phone calls, everyone informing us about what was going on. When I thought about it thought, it must be really fun with out any lights for a whole day and a half, but didn’t think that in a couple of years we could experience that same situation but for the remaining of our time spent here. It’s amazing to me how very few people understand this, or not even now about it, when evidence proves that it could happen. I would hope that in the future more people do take reasonability of their actions and realize how it affects us all in the long run.

My thoughts on Oil Peak

This idea rarely comes to our attention that the time is among us that oil could reach its peak. Before having this class, I was very naive to the idea that it would affect us because like many people I was subject on it happening way after our time. The oil peak theory is our collapse and it seems that it will hit us before we can do something about it because not many people understand this element. I would love to doubt these theories and pretend that the government will handle things, but that’s who got us her in the first place. Power down by Richard Heinberg addressed ways that we can go about this for example other natural resources that are being developed, and hopefully in time before we reach our doom. There are many consequences that tag along with this theory of oil peak. Competition among the people, countries for the reaming resources and that’s where I feel we stand now. The war has been occurring for a long time now, and it’s only fair that someone gets what they want by the end, and that’s what’s happening. Environment is sure to fail because as we search for what’s left of our oil supply, we destroy what elements we have left, and last sharing what we have, there is big competition between corporations.
This class at first wasn’t making much sense to me because I didn’t understand how we’d relate or conclude anything that was useful, but the more I read and notice the events that are happening among us, then I started to realize. As they say history repeats it’s self, and when looking back on Collapse: How societies choose to fail or succeed by Jared Diamond, society’s problems weren’t oil peak necessarily, but it was something that they had control over but didn’t prepare for, and that’s exactly what is happening again to us.

  • Andy
  • Eric
  • Emily
  • Henry
  • Max Lerner
  • Jennie
  • Andrew
  • Kamara
  • Doris
  • Mauricia
  • Stefan
  • Eugenia
  • Daniella
  • Zhi
  • Nina
  • Ying Ming
  • Robyn
  • Katrina
  • Nian
  • Alexa
  • Raymundo
  • Jordan
  • Jade
  • Chris Ng
  • Hang
  • Connie
  • Kizia
  • Raliecha
  • Virgil
  • Melinda
  • Barry
  • Menaka
  • Shev
  • Nadine